Coming off another POD winner I'm now 23-5 in my last 28 and 101-45 on the year! Our free picks have made profits too! Tonight we come with a rare 2-Dime Free Pick! It's an Oddsline Error because Vegas is still thinking the Rays are the team that just went 0-11. Like I said before this is the same team that just had a tough schedule and lost their best HR hitter. Now that they are back to playing regular sub-par teams from the division they are back on track, but still getting a lot of value. Tonight they will have their soon to be rookie of the year pitcher on the mound in Jeff Niemann.
Niemann has a 1.66 ERA with a 1.02 WHIP but nothing to show for it and I think he will be going for it here tonight against the Orioles who he pitched 7.1 innings giving up 7 hits and 1 ER the last time out. Niemann has great value here as well because of his first start against Baltimore this year and he went 5.1 innings gave up 6 hits and 6 ER. However, this was his first start of the year from switching over from the bullpen. He had two starts after that only allowing a total of 3 ER vs. the Orioles and has gotten better in each start. I expect that to happen yet again here tonight and I think the offense will get runs tonight against the pitching staff that will throw Berken out there.
Berken has pitched well as of late, but at home overall he his team is just 3-8 and he has a 1.69 WHIP. Berken has 1 start against the Rays and he went 5.2 innings gave up 11 hits and 5 ER with 3HR. Judging by the number of hits it seems as though it could have been much worse and it just may be tonight. Regardless I don't see this going deep into the game which means the bullpen will have to take over and that's a scary thought. Bullpen has a 7.64 ERA in their last 10 games.
Rays have dominated game 2's of series going 32-14 this year including 16-7 on the road! They are 12-3 in their last 15 as a favorite whiel the Orioles are 3-13 in their last 16 with Berken as a dog. Rays also 26-9 in their last 35 meetings with the O's
